The US presidential election will take place on November 3 this year, in just over two weeks. Donald Trump’s base seems to be slipping away with no narrowing in the polls as election pollsters would generally expect. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris’ campaign has near steamrolled the opposition with a growing 10 point lead, as they continue to hammer the President for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Who will win the US election 2020?
The only way for people to predict a possible election outcome is via polling.
Various companies take charge on this front, producing results from thousands of people selected as representative of the US population.
They define voter intention, predicting the outcome based on how people state they will vote right now.
He said: “The keys predict that Donald Trump will lose the White House this year.”
Professor Lichtman added: “The secret is keeping your eye on the big picture of incumbent strength and performance.
“And don’t pay any attention to the polls, the pundits, the day-to-day ups and downs of the campaign.
“And that’s what the keys gauge. The big picture.”
Professor Lichtman explained his system stretches back centuries and would incorporate “enormous changes” such as the COVID-19 pandemic.
He said: “Look, retrospectively and prospectively, the keys go all the way back to 1860.
“They are what we call a robust system. So, I don’t fiddle with them.
“They’ve lasted through enormous changes in our politics, in our economy, in our democracy. Don’t fiddle with the keys.”